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ZX Data private stock trade

Executive Summary

  • This quarter, reporting holders marked up their private portfolios by 6% ($ weighted) with an average mark-up of 6.9% (equal weighted). The period saw over two companies advancing for every declining company.
  • Sentiment up:
  • Sentiment down:
  • In March, 25% of ZX Index companies showed a difference of 10% or less compared to Fund Marks, and 44% of ZX Index companies showed a difference of 20% or less compared to Fund Marks.

Heat Map: January 31st, 2024 Reporting Period

6.0%

Appreciation/Depreciation of All Reported Holdings1

6.9%

Average Mark-Up/Mark-Down Across All Reported Holdings2
Anthropic
301.8%
Phononic
248.1%
Blaize
183.2%
Tempus Labs
74.0%
KRY
61.0%
Swiggy
49.2%
Artiva Bio
44.3%
OneTrust
37.3%
Lightmatter
37.2%
Benchling
34.7%
Algolia
33.3%
Scale AI
31.8%
LifeMine
27.7%
T-Knife
26.6%
Stripe
24.7%
Figma
24.4%
Tory Burch
23.6%
Tanium
22.9%
Illumio
22.6%
Castle Creek
21.0%
Delphix
20.2%
Intercom
19.9%
SpaceX
19.7%
Exo Imaging
19.6%
Neon
18.4%
MNTN
18.3%
Replit
15.9%
Versa Networks
15.4%
Xsight Labs
14.2%
Wugen
14.1%
Axiom Space
13.9%
Rapyd
13.5%
Retym
13.4%
Celonis
13.3%
Astera Labs
12.6%
Wasabi Technologies
12.2%
SiMa ai
12.0%
Sortium
12.0%
goPuff
11.7%
Starling Bank
11.4%
Lime
11.3%
Treeline Bio
11.1%
GOAT
10.5%
Boundless Bio
10.2%
Rad Power
9.9%
Circle
9.8%
Hammerspace
8.7%
Newsela
8.4%
ABL Space
8.1%
Teya (SaltPay)
8.1%
Alif Semi
7.4%
Tula Tech
7.1%
Optoro
6.7%
Sonoma Bio
6.5%
Essence Group
5.8%
Pine Labs
5.1%
Canva
4.6%
Talkdesk
4.6%
Waymo
4.5%
JumpCloud
4.3%
Skyryse
4.3%
YuLife
4.3%
Databricks
3.8%
Lacework
3.8%
Reddit
3.8%
Checkr
3.7%
Relativity Space
3.3%
PsiQuantum
3.1%
Lilac Solutions
2.7%
GupShup
2.4%
BETA Technologies
2.3%
Discord
1.4%
Blink Health
1.1%
Caidya (dMed)
0.7%
Zipline
0.7%
Astranis
0.5%
Verge Genomics
0.3%
Whoop
0.1%
6Sense
0.0%
A24 Films
0.0%
Bowery
0.0%
Cadre
0.0%
Carta
0.0%
Cart.com
0.0%
Chainalysis
0.0%
Cohesity
0.0%
Cross River
0.0%
Cybereason
0.0%
Druva
0.0%
Enevate
0.0%
Envoy
0.0%
Everly Health
0.0%
Fabletics
0.0%
Farmers Business Network
0.0%
Figure Technologies
0.0%
Grammarly
0.0%
Gusto
0.0%
Harness
0.0%
Headspace
0.0%
Highspot
0.0%
Houzz
0.0%
Jetti Resources
0.0%
JUUL
0.0%
KoBold Metals
0.0%
MadHive
0.0%
Patreon
0.0%
Phenom
0.0%
SandboxAQ
0.0%
Savage X
0.0%
Shipbob
0.0%
Sila Nano
0.0%
Snyk
0.0%
Sortera Tech
0.0%
Tekion
0.0%
ThoughtSpot
0.0%
VerAI
0.0%
Verily
0.0%
Liquid Death
-0.1%
Evozyne
-0.5%
SambaNova
-0.6%
Lookout
-0.9%
Ursa
-1.2%
Accelerant
-1.4%
Arctic Wolf
-1.8%
CelLink
-1.8%
Fanatics
-2.0%
Chime
-2.5%
MasterClass
-3.4%
Bolt
-3.9%
Ant Group
-4.1%
Bytedance
-5.8%
Loadsmart
-5.9%
ClearMotion
-6.4%
Dataminr
-6.7%
MOD Pizza
-7.3%
VideoAmp
-9.5%
Zero Mass Water
-10.0%
X Holdings
-10.7%
Epic Games
-10.8%
Noodle
-11.2%
Snorkel AI
-11.8%
Redwood Materials
-13.3%
Diamond Foundry
-14.4%
Signifyd
-14.4%
Moloco
-14.7%
Impulse Dynamics
-17.7%
Smule
-17.8%
Resilience
-20.8%
Meesho
-21.6%
Menlo Micro
-29.3%
Deep Instinct
-31.6%
Bright Peak
-32.5%
Volocopter
-33.3%
Nuro
-34.0%
Caris
-34.1%
Freenome
-36.9%
Rappi
-36.9%
Flexport
-40.3%
BYJU's
-54.5%
Mythical
-69.8%
Magic Leap
-76.1%
AgBiome
-98.7%

1 Dollar-weighted return on all reported holdings
2 Equal-weighted mark-up or mark-down across all reported holdings

This quarter, reporting holders marked up their private portfolios by 6% ($ weighted) with an average mark-up of 6.9% (equal weighted). The period saw over two companies advancing for every declining company.

Anthropic experienced the most significant mark-up, followed by Phononic, Blaize and Tempus Labs. FoodTech, Semiconductors and Data & Analytics saw the largest mark-ups across sectors.

AgBiome experienced the most significant mark-down, as funds wrote off their positions, while Magic Leap, Mythical and BYJU's also experienced significant mark-downs. Among sectors, BioTech, CleanTech, and Gaming saw the largest mark-downs.

Comparison of ZX Index Value vs. Fund Marks

CompaniesZX Index Value vs. Fund Marks
MasterClass+138.50%
GOAT+116.20%
Farmers Business Network+78.50%
Sila Nano+70.90%
Intercom+51.60%
Liquid Death+51.10%
Cybereason+50.00%
Rappi+49.50%
Figma+48.20%
Lime+41.30%
Flexport+27.00%
6Sense+25.50%
Dataminr+24.10%
Whoop+23.60%
Stripe+20.20%
Loadsmart+18.10%
Chainalysis+16.50%
Redwood Materials+16.20%
Carta+15.90%
Moloco+15.80%
GupShup+12.30%
Harness+9.80%
Phenom+9.30%
Diamond Foundry+8.30%
Tekion+4.70%
Circle+4.40%
SpaceX+3.00%
Algolia+1.90%
Druva+1.50%
Scale AI-0.40%
Discord-0.50%
Canva-0.80%
CoreWeave-2.80%
Cohesity-2.90%
Benchling-3.40%
Epic Games-3.50%
Freenome-7.90%
Databricks-8.10%
Patreon-9.00%
Shield AI-10.20%
Lightmatter-11.20%
Everly Health-11.30%
Highspot-11.60%
Cross River-12.30%
Blockdaemon-12.70%
Astranis-19.30%
ThoughtSpot-20.70%
Zipline-22.50%
Fanatics-25.60%
Talkdesk-27.40%
Arctic Wolf-28.30%
Relativity Space-31.60%
Shipbob-33.40%
Replit-33.80%
Anthropic-36.20%
Lookout-38.20%
Bytedance-38.60%
OneTrust-41.00%
Axiom Space-43.90%
Cart.com-46.70%
Gusto-48.40%
Chime-48.60%
Snyk-49.30%
Checkr-50.20%
VideoAmp-51.20%
MNTN-52.80%
SambaNova-58.00%
Tanium-59.80%
Celonis-60.00%
Illumio-72.10%
PsiQuantum-80.30%

In March, 25% of ZX Index companies showed a difference of 10% or less compared to Fund Marks, and 44% of ZX Index companies showed a difference of 20% or less compared to Fund Marks. Among the companies, MasterClass, GOAT, Farmers Business Network and Sila Nano had the highest positive variance in reported marks versus ZX Index Values. PsiQuantum, Illumio, Celonis and Tanium had the highest negative variance in reported marks versus ZX Index Values.

Highest Variance in Reported Marks
CompanyNormalized Std Dev3$ Weighted AvgMaxMin
Smule1.59$2.23$14.31$1.15
Phononic1.10$0.85$5.52$0.54
Farmers Business Network.54$3.96$19.21$3.65
BYJU’s.41$172.40$210.12$40.47
Lookout.41$4.74$9.22$2.05

3 Normalized Standard Deviation is used to express the measure of spread across reported marks and allows for comparison between companies independent of their price per share based on a dollar-weighted average.

This period, Smule ($1.15 - $14.31) saw the highest share price variance across funds followed by Phononic ($0.54 - $5.52) and Farmers Business Network ($3.65 - $19.21).

Positive Trend Reversal4 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked down or flat)
Negative Trend Reversal5 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked up or flat)
Positive Trend Reversal4 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked down or flat)
MasterClass
10
Exo Imaging
9
Rad Power
8
Delphix, JumpCloud, Loadsmart, Pine Labs
6
Negative Trend Reversal5 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked up or flat)
Bytedance
3
Deep Instinct
3
Epic Games
3
VideoAmp
3

4 Positive Trend Reversal reflects an individual holding marked up after consecutive quarterly periods marked down or flat
5 Negative Trend Reversal reflects an individual holding marked down after consecutive quarterly periods marked up or flat

MasterClass saw its first positive reversal in ten quarters while Exo Imaging saw its first positive reversal in nine quarters. Bytedance, Deep Instinct, Epic Games and VideoAmp all saw their first negative reversal in three quarters.

Disclaimer

This report is based on data reported by 300+ funds and $51 billion+ of value. Many holders of private company shares do not report their holding values and are thus not included in this report’s dataset. Further, many venture-backed private companies are not held by any reporting funds and are thus not included in this report. As such, this report should not be construed as providing a complete picture of shareholder sentiment or venture-backed private company performance. This report does not constitute investment advice or a "research report" as defined by FINRA Rules.

The “ZX Index Value” is derived by applying proprietary weightings to the order flow data collected for the stated period (both bids and asks), based on the order type (firm order or indication of interest) and whether the order has been executed, with greater weight given to more recent orders.

Zanbato, Inc. (“Zanbato”) prepares and disseminates market information about venture-backed private company securities, and the current bids and offers for those securities listed on the ATS operated by Zanbato (“ZX”). The information provided in this report has been prepared by sales, trading, or other non-research functions. Pricing indications and macro commentary are provided for factual information purposes only. This report is not intended to assess the individual merits of a particular investment or strategy, does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy and should not be construed as such. This report does not constitute investment advice. Certain information in this report has been obtained from third party sources and, while such information is believed by Zanbato to be reliable, it has not been independently verified by Zanbato and Zanbato shall not be responsible or liable, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with any use of, or reliance on, such third party information. Furthermore, the information contained in this report may not be current due to, among other things, changes in the financial markets or economic environment. Zanbato does not, and has no obligation to, update any such information contained in this report. Any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only, do not represent firm quotes as to either price or size and should not be used for valuation purposes.

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